As per the metrological department India will have normal monsoon this year.
As per Mohapatra who is the director general of the department, that we are expecting a normal to good monsoon which will help the agriculture sector.
Quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 101 per cent of the Long Period Average with a model error of plus or minus four per cent," he said.
In its first long range forecast for southwest monsoon 2021, the IMD had predicted rainfall to be 98 per cent of the LPA which also falls under the normal category. But it has not upgraded its forecast to 101 per cent of the LPA which is on the higher side of the normal range.
Mohapatra said there is a 40 per cent chance of a normal rainfall, 22 per cent above normal, 12 per cent excess and 18 per cent below normal.
He said spatial distribution suggests normal or above normal seasonal rainfall is most likely over many areas of northwest and central India, and eastern parts of southern peninsula.
Below normal seasonal rainfall is most likely over some areas of north, east, northeast parts of the country and western parts of the south peninsula, he said.